Production Patterns of Knowledge- and Technology-Intensive Industries

U.S. Industries

KTI industries have accounted for about a 10th of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) since 2002 (11% in 2022, or $2.9 trillion of $25.7 trillion in current U.S. dollars, based on S&P Global detailed value-added industry data and BEA GDP statistics) (BEA 2023c; Table KTI-1; Table SKTI-1; Table SAKTI-2). This relatively modest share reflects that the U.S. economy is relatively less manufacturing intensive and that most KTI industries are in the manufacturing sector given its higher R&D intensity (Wolfe 2022). Indeed, in 2022, manufacturing industries overall accounted for 11.2% of U.S. GDP, compared with 55.6% for total private services.

U.S. KTI industries, by value added and share of GDP: 2018–22

(Billions of dollars and percent)

GDP = gross domestic product; ISIC, Rev.4 = International Standard Industrial Classification, Revision 4; IT = information technology; KTI = knowledge and technology intensive; nec = not elsewhere classified.

Note(s):

Value added is the value of goods and services (gross output) minus the cost of intermediate inputs (energy, materials, and purchased services). Value added is a measure of an industry's contribution to overall GDP. KTI industries include high R&D intensive and medium-high R&D intensive industries based on a classification by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data have been crosswalked to the ISIC, Rev.4, classification. See the Technical Appendix for the crosswalking and Table SAKTI-1. Total private services corresponds to main services in ISIC, Rev.4.

Source(s):

GDP data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Industry Economic Accounts, accessed November 2023 (available at https://www.bea.gov/itable/national-gdp-and-personal-income); value-added data are from S&P Global IHS Markit, Comparative Industry Service special tabulations, October 2023.

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For most of the data since 2002, KTI manufacturing accounted for a larger share of U.S. GDP (6%–7%), compared with KTI services (3%–5%). Despite these relatively constant shares relative to GDP, two changes are notable for value added within U.S. KTI industries. KTI services industries’ share in total U.S. KTI value added increased from about a third to 45% from 2002 to 2022, with the KTI manufacturing share declining from over two-thirds in 2002 to 55% in 2022 (Table SKTI-1). In particular, IT and other information services has been the largest U.S. KTI industry by nominal value added since 2008 (Figure KTI-1). Because of small but steady increases (with a declining share through 2021 and flat in 2022), the share of software publishing now almost matches the computer, electronic, and optical products manufacturing share of KTI value added. The output trend in these three IT-related industries is consistent with increased U.S. private fixed investment in physical IT (computers, peripheral, and communication equipment) and in intangibles or intellectual property products (IPPs), such as software, since the early 2000s.

Industry share of U.S. total KTI value added, by selected industries: 2002–22
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Industry share of U.S. total KTI value added, by selected industries: 2002–22

(Percent share)
Year Computer, electronic, and optical products Software publishing IT and other information services Machinery and equipment nec Motor vehicles, trailers, and semi-trailers Pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemical, and botanical products
2002 16.0 5.4 17.0 9.9 12.5 9.0
2003 17.3 5.5 16.4 9.4 12.8 9.0
2004 17.3 6.1 16.8 9.6 11.9 9.1
2005 17.4 6.5 16.7 10.1 11.2 8.5
2006 17.3 5.9 17.1 10.1 10.3 9.1
2007 17.0 6.8 16.6 10.3 9.2 9.1
2008 16.8 7.0 19.2 10.2 6.5 9.0
2009 16.7 7.1 19.7 9.4 3.5 10.6
2010 16.3 7.1 20.1 9.3 6.0 8.8
2011 15.3 7.4 21.0 10.0 6.7 8.3
2012 15.1 7.8 21.0 10.2 7.2 7.7
2013 14.5 8.0 21.6 10.0 7.2 7.8
2014 14.3 8.1 22.3 9.8 7.5 7.9
2015 14.5 8.0 22.7 8.8 7.9 8.0
2016 14.0 8.4 23.9 8.0 8.0 8.2
2017 14.0 8.9 24.5 8.1 7.8 8.0
2018 14.1 9.2 25.5 8.0 7.2 7.6
2019 13.7 9.9 25.7 7.9 6.9 8.0
2020 13.7 11.5 26.3 7.3 6.2 8.5
2021 13.1 12.2 26.9 7.2 6.1 8.4
2022 13.2 11.8 26.8 7.8 5.9 8.1

IT = information technology; KTI = knowledge and technology intensive; nec = not elsewhere classified.

Note(s):

Value added is the value of goods and services (gross output) minus the cost of intermediate inputs (energy, materials, and purchased services). Industry value added is a measure of an industry's contribution to overall gross domestic product. KTI industries include high R&D intensive and medium-high R&D intensive industries based on a classification by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data have been crosswalked to the International Standard Industrial Classification, Revision 4. See Table SAKTI-2.

Source(s):

S&P Global IHS Markit, Comparative Industry Service special tabulations, October 2023.

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More recently, KTI services production was impacted differently from KTI manufacturing in the last economic downturn, likely reflecting the level and timing of the effects of the pandemic on goods versus services in the overall U.S. economy (Chetty, Friedman, and Stepner 2023). Figure KTI-2 shows annual percentage changes since 2018 in separate panels for KTI manufacturing and KTI services. Except for weapons and ammunition; pharmaceuticals; and computer, electronic, and optical products—each of which had an annual increase in 2020—value added by U.S. KTI manufacturing industries declined by larger percentages compared with the overall percentage decline in GDP in the 2020 recession. These industries rebounded in 2021, with further increases in 2022. In contrast, all three KTI services industries—software publishing, IT and other information services, and scientific R&D services—posted annual increases since 2018 in current U.S. dollars. Within U.S. KTI manufacturing, value added of air and spacecraft manufacturing and of machinery and equipment manufacturing had annual increases in 2022 over 20% in current U.S. dollars, followed by medical and dental instruments and supplies; chemicals and chemical products (excluding pharmaceuticals); and railroad, military vehicles, and transport equipment nec, each with increases over 15%. U.S. KTI industries are highly geographically concentrated. (See the sidebar Geography of Domestic KTI Production.)

Annual percent changes in U.S. value added, by KTI industry: 2018–22
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Annual percent changes in U.S. value added, by KTI industry: 2018–22

(Percent change)
Industry 2018–19 2019–20 2020–21 2021–22
Air and spacecraft and related machinery 4.5 -11.9 4.1 21.2
Machinery and equipment nec 3.8 -4.9 8.6 21.1
Medical and dental instruments and supplies 1.3 -4.6 5.0 17.3
Chemicals and chemical products 1.0 -5.4 10.1 16.4
Railroad, military vehicles, and transport equipment nec 5.2 -14.4 8.4 15.4
Computer, electronic, and optical products 1.5 2.4 5.6 12.4
Electrical equipment -0.7 -4.9 10.1 8.8
Motor vehicles, trailers, and semi-trailers 0.2 -9.0 10.3 8.1
Weapons and ammunition 13.4 21.0 0.7 7.8
Pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemical, and botanical products 11.1 8.1 9.5 7.3
KTI manufacturing industries 3.1 -2.6 7.8 13.8
All KTI industries 4.8 2.2 10.5 11.7
All manufacturing industries 1.5 -5.4 11.5 13.9
Gross domestic product 4.2 -0.9 10.7 9.1
(Percent change)
Industry 2018–19 2019–20 2020–21 2021–22
IT and other information services 5.6 4.5 13.3 11.2
Software publishing 11.9 18.8 17.3 7.9
Scientific R&D services 8.4 12.4 10.6 4.0
KTI services 7.4 9.0 13.9 9.3
All KTI industries 4.8 2.2 10.5 11.7
Total private services 5.1 -0.6 11.3 7.2
Gross domestic product 4.2 -0.9 10.7 9.1

GDP = gross domestic product; IT = information technology; KTI = knowledge and technology intensive; nec = not elsewhere classified.

Note(s):

Value added is the value of goods and services (gross output) minus the cost of intermediate inputs (energy, materials, and purchased services). Industry value added is a measure of an industry's contribution to overall GDP. KTI industries include high R&D intensive and medium-high R&D intensive industries based on a classification by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data have been crosswalked to the International Standard Industrial Classification, Revision 4. See Table SAKTI-2. Industry groups are at the top of the figure, and specific industries are sorted from smallest to largest based on annual percent change in 2021–22.

Source(s):

GDP data are from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Industry Economic Accounts, accessed November 2023 (available at https://www.bea.gov/itable/national-gdp-and-personal-income); value-added data are from S&P Global IHS Markit, Comparative Industry Service special tabulations, October 2023.

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Geography of Domestic KTI Production

Industries in the Global Economy

This section examines global statistics on KTI industries, starting with value added. Subsequent sections explore the participation of these industries in goods and services trade.

KTI industries produced $11.1 trillion globally in value added in 2022, a 5.6% increase in current U.S. dollars compared with a 15.8% post-pandemic rebound in 2021 following little change in 2019 and 2020, based on current U.S. dollar S&P Global data (Table SKTI-2). By comparison, global GDP increased 3.8% in 2022 following a pandemic-related drop in 2020 and a 13.5% increase in 2021 in current U.S. dollars based on International Monetary Fund statistics (IMF 2023b). Since 2018, KTI value added accounted for between 10% and 11% of global GDP, with 3% from KTI services industries and between 7% and 8% from KTI manufacturing industries (Table KTI-2). Overall, services represent a larger share of global GDP compared with manufacturing; within KTI industries globally, however, services value added has a smaller share compared with manufacturing.

Global KTI industries, by value added and share of global GDP: 2018–22

(Billions of dollars, percent change, share of global GDP)

* = amount < 0.05.

GDP = gross domestic product; ISIC, Rev.4 = International Standard Industrial Classification, Revision 4; IT = information technology; KTI = knowledge and technology intensive; nec = not elsewhere classified.

Note(s):

Value added is the value of goods and services (gross output) minus the cost of intermediate inputs (energy, materials, and purchased services). KTI industries include high R&D intensive and medium-high R&D intensive industries based on a classification by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Total private services corresponds to main services in ISIC, Rev.4.

Source(s):

Value added data are from S&P Global IHS Markit, Comparative Industry Service special tabulations, October 2023; GDP data are from International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook, accessed November 2023 (available at https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October), and Bureau of Economic Analysis, Industry Economic Accounts, accessed November 2023 (available at https://www.bea.gov/itable/national-gdp-and-personal-income).

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The United States, China, the European Union (EU-27), Japan, and South Korea accounted for about 80% of global KTI value added in 2022 based on S&P Global data in current U.S. dollars (Table SKTI-2). In that year, China and the United States were the top two producers of KTI output ($3.0 trillion and $2.9 trillion, respectively), each representing over a quarter of global KTI value added, followed by the EU-27, with a 17.0% share ($1.9 trillion). (The EU-27 share includes Germany, with 5.2%, or 31% of the EU-27 share.) Another 9% of KTI value added originated from Japan (5.4%) and South Korea (3.6%).

The aforementioned global shares vary across broad KTI sectors (Figure KTI-3 and Figure KTI-4). For manufacturing KTI output, China and the United States accounted for 34% and 20% of the global total, respectively. For services KTI output, these nations’ respective shares were almost reversed (12% for China and 40% for the United States), which is consistent with the larger share of total manufacturing in China’s GDP and of services in U.S. GDP. Another illustrative measure is KTI value-added intensity, which is the ratio of KTI value added relative to GDP. South Korea had the highest KTI value-added intensity since 2002 (Figure KTI-5). In 2022, this ratio was 24% for South Korea, followed by 17% for China. The U.S. KTI value-added intensity has been between 10% and 11% since 2002, similar to the range of global KTI value-added intensity—both at 11% in 2022. The intensity levels for Japan and Germany have been in the middle teens since 2002 (Figure KTI-5).

Country share of global KTI manufacturing value added, by KTI industry: 2022
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Country share of global KTI manufacturing value added, by KTI industry: 2022

(Percent share)
Industry United States China Japan Germany South Korea Italy United Kingdom France India Canada ROW
Air and spacecraft and related machinery 56.6 9.3 1.5 5.2 0.6 1.5 4.9 3.8 0.2 2.7 13.6
Medical and dental instruments 37.0 16.5 2.1 7.7 1.1 2.3 1.4 1.8 0.6 0.8 28.6
Pharmaceuticals 26.7 23.7 5.2 3.7 1.2 1.4 2.3 1.4 2.0 0.7 31.6
Computer, electronic, and optical products 24.7 30.9 4.0 2.6 8.0 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.4 26.9
Chemicals and chemical products 18.4 36.8 4.0 3.3 3.2 1.1 1.3 2.2 2.1 1.0 26.6
Weapons and ammunition 16.4 14.3 1.5 3.4 4.7 2.3 2.7 2.4 0.1 5.4 46.9
Motor vehicles, trailers, and semi-trailers 16.0 32.2 8.1 12.6 3.1 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.5 1.3 21.0
Machinery and equipment nec 15.8 37.0 11.2 7.3 3.3 3.5 1.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 17.3
Railroad, military vehicles, and transport nec 9.8 42.3 2.9 2.7 0.6 1.7 1.3 1.5 4.6 1.4 31.3
Electrical equipment 8.8 54.9 6.5 5.2 3.5 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 16.7
All KTI manufacturing 20.4 34.0 6.1 5.6 3.8 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 23.5
All manufacturing 17.0 34.3 5.4 4.0 2.8 1.9 1.6 1.6 2.7 1.3 27.4

KTI = knowledge and technology intensive; nec = not elsewhere classified; ROW = rest of world.

Note(s):

Value added is the value of goods and services (gross output) minus the cost of intermediate inputs (energy, materials, and purchased services). KTI industries include high R&D intensive and medium-high R&D intensive industries based on a classification by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Industry groups are at the top of the figure, and specific industries are sorted from smallest to largest based on the U.S. share. The United States is the first country listed, and the other countries are ordered from largest to smallest based on the share of all KTI manufacturing.

Source(s):

S&P Global IHS Markit, Comparative Industry Service special tabulations, October 2023.

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